Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.303546 4.825097 5.392954 6.058440 6.818594 7.661683 8.670156
2025-01-12 3.486580 4.168493 4.966919 5.975726 7.223266 8.724307 10.680431
2025-01-19 2.848773 3.566847 4.453041 5.636465 7.189407 9.177135 11.945057
2025-01-26 2.537570 3.301002 4.285398 5.662794 7.564220 10.131796 13.921538
2025-02-02 2.355924 3.168567 4.257460 5.845412 8.139244 11.390539 16.452954
2025-02-09 2.184866 3.024717 4.188398 5.948312 8.595107 12.513518 18.918312
2025-02-16 2.033562 2.888790 4.109859 6.018262 8.995688 13.583445 21.428664
2025-02-23 1.902679 2.767019 4.035367 6.078522 9.376572 14.652097 24.066813
2025-03-02 1.733350 2.571450 3.830312 5.911442 9.370983 15.087922 25.680138
2025-03-09 1.608761 2.432456 3.697655 5.842213 9.510357 15.768023 27.798821
2025-03-16 1.496467 2.302850 3.567426 5.761544 9.616365 16.393409 29.890462
2025-03-23 1.454737 2.281543 3.607579 5.967506 10.237058 17.996463 34.068218
2025-03-30 1.370599 2.186804 3.522758 5.956054 10.478475 18.953422 37.161341
2025-04-06 1.287189 2.087079 3.421656 5.906306 10.644023 19.787180 40.137472
2025-04-13 1.164852 1.912605 3.179025 5.577730 10.245041 19.464983 40.574841
2025-04-20 1.111396 1.852828 3.131590 5.605075 10.538729 20.569260 44.356075
2025-04-27 1.085563 1.839205 3.164403 5.785871 11.155890 22.418647 50.171016
2025-05-04 1.049938 1.805300 3.157288 5.887645 11.620600 23.998835 55.620252
2025-05-11 1.012410 1.765144 3.135175 5.956799 12.022625 25.489713 61.114952
2025-05-18 0.976305 1.725018 3.109819 6.016364 12.409128 26.993222 66.920846
2025-05-25 0.915399 1.634460 2.981403 5.851217 12.279017 27.265594 69.446461
2025-06-01 0.870513 1.571514 2.902260 5.782787 12.360055 28.054439 73.557112
2025-06-08 0.827544 1.509651 2.821079 5.703047 12.406368 28.762849 77.570621